Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000250 0.000280 0.000313 0.000350 0.000393 0.000440 0.000496
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000190 0.000231 0.000281 0.000343 0.000421 0.000515 0.000637
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000203 0.000262 0.000342 0.000449 0.000588 0.000784
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000179 0.000243 0.000335 0.000465 0.000644 0.000911
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000166 0.000235 0.000339 0.000494 0.000718 0.001073
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000155 0.000228 0.000342 0.000520 0.000790 0.001239
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000139 0.000210 0.000327 0.000516 0.000814 0.001334
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000131 0.000204 0.000328 0.000537 0.000881 0.001504
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000128 0.000206 0.000343 0.000581 0.000987 0.001757
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000119 0.000196 0.000336 0.000586 0.001030 0.001901
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000108 0.000182 0.000319 0.000574 0.001038 0.001982
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000103 0.000179 0.000322 0.000596 0.001112 0.002198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000102 0.000181 0.000337 0.000643 0.001240 0.002548
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000096 0.000174 0.000332 0.000651 0.001296 0.002758
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000091 0.000169 0.000331 0.000668 0.001371 0.003023
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000085 0.000162 0.000324 0.000673 0.001419 0.003235
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000082 0.000160 0.000328 0.000700 0.001521 0.003586
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000079 0.000157 0.000331 0.000724 0.001619 0.003947
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000073 0.000147 0.000316 0.000708 0.001621 0.004068
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000070 0.000145 0.000318 0.000729 0.001715 0.004441
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000070 0.000148 0.000331 0.000781 0.001890 0.005065
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000066 0.000142 0.000325 0.000781 0.001937 0.005341
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000028 0.000061 0.000133 0.000309 0.000758 0.001921 0.005433